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February 05, 2026
TOP NEWS
Marico:
The company has entered into definitive agreements to make strategic
investment in Cosmix Wellness Private Limited (Cosmix Wellness), the company which owns the brand Cosmix – one of India’s leading digital-first functional
wellness brands. The brand offers a range of plant-based protein powders,
fermented yeast protein powders, functional superfood blends and has recently
launched functional foods like plant-protein pancake mixes and plant-protein
bars. Marico will acquire 60% of Cosmix
Wellness’ paid-up share capital from its founders for a consideration of Rs.
226 crore. The acquisition is in line with Marico’s
key strategic priorities and will expand its presence in premium food and
nutrition categories by adding a digital-first functional wellness brand with
a distinct and compelling proposition in its portfolio. Positive
CCL
Products: Strong Q3 performance - Revenue grew 38.4% y-o-y to Rs. 1,050 crore, supported by higher volumes and improved
realisations. Operating performance strengthened, with EBITDA increasing
47.4% y-o-y to Rs. 184 crore. EBITDA margin expanded
to 17.5% compared with 16.5% in Q3FY25, reflecting better operating leverage
despite rising costs. The improvement in margins, alongside strong
revenue growth, translated into a sharp rise in profitability on a y-o-y
basis, with net profit rising 59.2% y-o-y to Rs. 100 crore.
Bharat
Forge: January ACT Class 8 orders came in at 30,800 units, up 20% y-o-y.
Jubilant
Ingrevia: Weak Q3 - Revenue remained largely flat,
rising 0.5% to Rs. 1,051 crore. EBITDA fell 8.5%
y-o-y to Rs. 126.1 crore. EBITDA margin contracted to 12% from 13% in Q3FY25.
Reported a 32.4% y-o-y decline in net profit to Rs. 47 crore.
RESULTS PREVIEW
|
Company
|
Net Sales (Rs. cr.)
|
OPM (%)
|
Adjusted PAT (Rs. cr.)
|
|
Q3FY25E
|
Q3FY24
|
YoY%
|
QoQ%
|
Q3FY25E
|
Q3FY24
|
YoY (bps)
|
QoQ (bps)
|
Q3FY25E
|
Q3FY24
|
YoY%
|
QoQ%
|
|
Aditya Birla
Fashion and Retail
|
2,326
|
2,201
|
5.7
|
17.4
|
11.1
|
13.7
|
-257
|
767
|
-121
|
-97
|
24.6
|
-58.0
|
MACRO WRAP
- The main theme overnight was risk-off.
The sell-off in the tech sector continued, dragging down the broader
market, The DJIA rose 0.5% while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite
Index fell 0.5% and 1.5% respectively. The Eurostoxx
50 fell 0.4%. The Dollar Index edged up 0.2% to 97.62 and EUR-USD was
just a touch lower around 1.1810.
- The US 2Y yield dipped 2bp to
3.55% and the 10Y yield edged up 1b to 4.27%. The German 10Y yield fell
3bp to 2.86%. The UK 10Y yield rose 3bp to 4.55%.
- Brent crude oil prices rose 3.2%
to USD69.46. Gold rose 0.4% to USD4,965. Silver rose 3.5% to USD88.18.
Bitcoin fell 4.6% to USD72,627 and down 17% year-to-date
- US private businesses added
22K jobs in January, led by health care with 74K. Medium-sized firms
gained 37K jobs, while large employers lost 18K. Job creation slowed in
2025 to 398K from 771K in 2024, with stable wage growth, per ADP'.
- Trump and President Xi
discussed trade, military, and Trump's China visit in a call. Xi
stressed positive US relations and caution on
Taiwan. VP Vance proposed a critical minerals trade bloc, and USTR Greer
will detail the agreement.
- US ISM Services PMI stayed at
53.8 in January 2026, beating the 53.5 forecast. Business activity grew,
but new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries slowed. Inventories
and backlogs contracted, while price pressures increased. ISM's Steve
Miller noted tariff impacts and geopolitical tensions affecting pricing.
Sentimentally negative for Precious metals
- The S&P Global Canada
Composite PMI dropped to 46.4, below the neutral 50.0 for a third month.
Services declined to 45.8, driving the slump, while manufacturing
stabilized. New business fell for the 14th month, affecting output.
Employment saw a slight decline, and business confidence weakened. Input
cost inflation eased, but output charges remained steady.
- US Services PMI increased to
52.7 in January 2026 from 52.5, marking three years of growth. Domestic
sales offset tariff-related foreign softness and marginally increased
employment. Higher payroll costs and tariffs raised input inflation.
Business confidence dipped to a three-month low.
- Tehran will engage in talks
with Washington on Friday in Oman, easing concerns over oil disruptions.
Iran seeks to focus on nuclear issues, while the US wants to also
address missiles, regional militancy, and human rights. Sentimentally
positive for Gold and Crude
- Data watch: Attention is
likely on Europe today with two key central bank monetary policy
decisions (BOE and ECB) followed by Eurozone Dec retail sales, German
Dec factory orders, French Dec industrial production, Jan construction
PMI surveys for UK and Germany, and UK’s 3-month and 1-year price
expectations for Jan.
INVESTMENT CALL
First cut: Trent Q3FY26 (Standalone) result update –
Strong beat on margin front
·
Trent
(standalone) revenue grew by 16% y-o-y to Rs. 5,260 crore,
in-line with our expectation of Rs. 5,220 crore.
·
Gross
margins slightly rose by 29 bps y-o-y to 45%, while EBIDTA margins improved
by 182 bps y-o-y to 20.4%, beating our expectation of 19.4%.
·
EBIDTA
grew by 27.3% y-o-y to Rs. 1,073 crore, while
adjusted PAT grew by 40.4% y-o-y to Rs. 659 crore,
higher than our expectation of Rs. 537 crore.
·
View:
We shall come out with a detailed post reviewing our earnings estimates.
Currently we have a Buy recommendation on the stock.
Results (Standalone)
Rs. crore
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Particulars
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Q3FY26
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Q3FY25
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y-o-y (%)
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Q2FY26
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q-o-q (%)
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Net
revenue
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5,259.5
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4,534.7
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16.0
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4,724.1
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11.3
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EBITDA
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1,073.4
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843.0
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27.3
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813.2
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32.0
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Adjusted
PAT
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659.0
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469.3
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40.4
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450.8
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46.2
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Exceptional
items
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-19.3
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0.0
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-
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0.0
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-
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Reported
PAT
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639.7
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469.3
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36.3
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450.8
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41.9
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EPS
(Rs.)
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18.5
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13.2
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40.4
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12.7
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46.2
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|
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|
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bps
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bps
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GPM
(%)
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45.0
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44.7
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29
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43.3
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169
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EBITDA
Margin (%)
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20.4
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18.6
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182
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17.2
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319
|
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NPM
(%)
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12.5
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10.3
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218
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9.5
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299
|
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Tax
rate
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20.6
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24.1
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-352
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21.7
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-114
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Actual vs
estimates
Rs. crore
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Particulars
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Q3FY26
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Q3FY26E
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% var
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Net
revenue
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5,259.5
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5,220.0
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0.8
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EBITDA
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1,073.4
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1,015.0
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5.7
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Adjusted
PAT
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659.0
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536.7
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22.8
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|
|
|
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bps
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GPM
(%)
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45.0
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45.0
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0
|
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EBITDA
Margin (%)
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20.4
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19.4
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96
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First Cut: Transport Corporation Of
India Q3FY26 Consolidated Results – Good Quarter
·
TCI reported consolidated revenues of
₹1,249 crore for Q3FY26, up 8.9% YoY. The Freight, SCM, Seaways, and Energy
divisions recorded growth of 2.6%, 25.3%, 8.7%, and 25% YoY, respectively.
·
Operating profit increased 7.2% YoY to
₹127 crore, with OPM at 10.2%, down 16 bps YoY.
·
Consolidated net profit rose 13.7% YoY
to ₹114 crore.
·
We have a buy rating on the stock and
will provide a more detailed update after our management interaction later
today.
Results (Consolidated)
Rs cr.
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Quarter Ended
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Q3FY26
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Q3FY25
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YoY (%)
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Q2FY26
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QoQ
(%)
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Total revenue
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1,248.8
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1,147.1
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8.9
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1,204.9
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3.6
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EBITDA
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127.0
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118.5
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7.2
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126.7
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0.2
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Adjusted PAT
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114.7
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100.9
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13.7
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112.6
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1.9
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EPS (Rs)
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14.8
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13.1
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13.7
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14.6
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1.9
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|
|
|
|
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EBITDA margin (%)
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10.2
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10.3
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-16 bps
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10.5
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-35 bps
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NPM(%)
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9.2
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8.8
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39 bps
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9.3
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-16 bps
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Tax Rate (%)
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7.8
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10.5
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-265 bps
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12.2
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-435 bps
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Stock update: Mahindra Lifespaces– Poised for a launch spree.
Reco:
Buy
Reco. Price: Rs. 374
Price
Target: Rs. 450
- Q3
numbers were strong, with pre-sales (up 71% y-o-y) to Rs. 572 crore, while collections rose 5% y-o-y to Rs. 386 crore.
- Blossom
project was launched in Bengaluru towards Q3-end, with a GDV of Rs.
1,800 crore, where sales momentum will largely
reflect in Q4FY26.
- Revenue
and EBITDA grew 175% y-o-y and 6.6% y-o-y to Rs. 459 crore and Rs. 29.9
crore respectively, while APAT turned positive at Rs. 83 crore after a loss in Q3FY25, driven by project
completions and stronger IC performance.
- We
maintain a Buy with a revised PT of Rs. 450, supported by a strong
launch pipeline and faster growth in the industrial & logistics
segment.
Valuation
(Consolidated)
Rs. Crore
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Particulars
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FY25
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FY26E
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FY27E
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FY28E
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Revenue
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372.3
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579.2
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769.1
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1,046.4
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OPM (%)
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-45.6
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-14.0
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2.8
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6.1
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Adjusted PAT
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61.3
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188.6
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260.7
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312.8
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y-o-y growth (%)
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-37.6
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207.8
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38.2
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20.0
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Adjusted EPS (Rs.)
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4.0
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8.9
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12.2
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14.7
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P/E (x)
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94.1
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42.2
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30.6
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25.5
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P/B (x)
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3.0
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3.8
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3.4
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3.0
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RoNW (%)
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3.3
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9.5
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11.8
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12.5
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RoCE (%)
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-3.3
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-1.4
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1.5
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2.4
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OTHER NEWS
Oberoi
Realty : The company has emerged as the highest
bidder in an auction conducted by the Railway Land Development Authority
(RLDA) for the 99-year lease of around 11 acres of railway land at Bandra
East, Mumbai, near the Western Express Highway. The company’s bid stands at
Rs. 5,400 crore for a site with FSI potential of
~19.5 lakh sq. ft. Final confirmation is awaited from RLDA on the next steps.
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