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Week that was
In a tense turn of events, India responded decisively to the terrorist attack that had struck Pahalgam, Kashmir, by launching missiles aimed at terrorist camps. This act of retaliation did not go unanswered; Pakistan swiftly escalated the situation by targeting both civilian and military sites within India. In a rapid progression of hostilities, the Indian side retaliated with a series of missile and drone strikes, leading to a situation where nightfall found multiple cities in Pakistan under attack.
The escalating conflict sent ripples of concern through the financial markets, which displayed a palpable sense of nervousness. As the week unfolded, Indian benchmark indices reflected this anxiety, closing with a drop of 1.39%. Meanwhile, the Karachi Stock Exchange faced an even steeper decline, plummeting by 6.67% over the same period. By the end of the week, Indian markets found themselves near their lows, as traders braced for potential further escalation over the weekend.
Despite the surging volatility and traders' apprehensions, history suggests that market reactions to such terrorist incidents tend to be fleeting. Unless the situation spirals into a full-blown war, significant further declines in the market may be unlikely. The uncertainty of the next chapter loomed large, but historical precedents offered a glimmer of hope amidst the turmoil.
Major corporate developments were:
The week ahead
Indian markets are expected to stay volatile depending on border tensions.
Quick Read
Week that was
As the week wrapped up, Indian benchmark indices were bolstered by robust buying from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) who injected a notable Rs 17,796 crore into the markets. This sustained buying streak stretched across eight consecutive sessions, showcasing strong investor confidence. By the end of the week, the indices had posted a gain of 1.21%, a promising sign for traders and investors alike.
However, the week was not without its shadows. An unfortunate terrorist attack on Hindu tourists in Pahalgam, Kashmir, cast a pall over the market’s performance. The ensuing fears of escalating conflict led to a sharp correction on Friday, dampening what could have been even greater gains.
Amid this turbulence, there were glimmers of hope on the global front. Negotiations in the US with various countries, along with a notable cooling of tensions between the US and China, provided a supportive backdrop for the markets. Towards the week’s end, China indicated its willingness to engage in negotiations by announcing the lifting of tariffs on certain exports to the US, which further fuelled optimism in global markets.
Despite the challenges faced, the overall performance of the Indian stock market for the week was encouraging, leaving investors cautiously optimistic as they ventured into the next trading week.
Major corporate developments were:
The week ahead
Indian markets are now prone to movement at the border with Pakistan. Indian government’s reaction to the terrorist attack will decide the immediate trend in the market. Adding to the pressure will be any adverse announcement from President Trump.
Quick Read
Week that was
Most global markets seem to have discounted the tariff war between the US and China. Global markets bounced back strongly during the week even as the US imposed tariffs of 245% on China. The 90-day pause on imposition of tariffs on countries other than China seem to have prompted the rally.
In the a three-day week, markets recovered sharply with the benchmark indices gaining 4.51% led by financials. The market’s mood was lifted after FIIs pumped in funds post relentless selling for many days. Further, reports of India and the US reaching a deal as per the Bilateral Trade Agreement aided market confidence.
During the week, the rupee and equity indices stayed strong. Short covering throughout the week picked up on April 17 resulting in a sharp rally. Beises, gold prices touched a new all-time high.
The week also saw a hawkish US Fed chief Jerome Powell saying that he expects higher inflation and a weaker job market despite the protectionist policies of President Trump. US markets crashed after Powell’s speech as he refused to throw a lifeline and toe the President’s line. Expectation of further rift between the President and the Federal Reserve will keep markets volatile, which explains gold touching a new high.
Major corporate developments were:
The week ahead
While Indian markets have closed on a high note, global cues, especially actions by the US President will drive markets. Corporate earnings will also have an impact on the future direction of the market.
Quick Read
Week that was
After the terrorist attack in Kashmir, Indian equities have been moving in a narrow range with higher intraday volatility. Traders are apprehensive about taking a position on the long side and are waiting for action from the Indian side on the matter. Nonetheless, Indian benchmark indices closed the week with a gain of 1.21%, thanks to a sharp rally on April 28.
However, FIIs are using this pause to re-enter the market. Data shows that FIIs have been consistent buyers since mid-April, resulting in a positive inflow for the month. For March and April, FII investment has been marginally positive after record selling in the previous fiscal.
Relentless selling by FIIs and equally determined buying by DIIs have resulted in DIIS now holding more stakes in Indian markets than FIIs. DIIs now hold 16.9% of Indian equities, compared to 16.84% by FIIs. The assets under custody of DIIs stand at Rs 69.80 lakh crore, compared to Rs 69.58 lakh crore by DIIs. FII holding in the Indian market is at a 50-quarter low.
Major corporate developments were:
The week ahead
Indian traders are likely to remain on their toes till we get some clarity on the reaction of the Indian army to Pakistan’s terror attack.
Quick Read
U.S. and China continue to trade charges on reciprocal tariffs
RBI cuts repo rates by 25 bps
Indian markets close flat, posting a strong recovery after Monday’s gap down
Week that was
Another eventful week saw market volatility rise as U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jingping had a showdown on reciprocal tariff. Both the countries were raising tariff rates on each other, which have now reached levels close to 100%. Trade at such levels is literally impossible.
In the second part of the week, Trump decided to pause the tariff implementation on all countries except China. Global markets saw a relief rally after this announcement; however, the real impact of this tariff on China can impact global growth.
For China, U.S. is the biggest market, a huge tariff will hit its growth, the result of which could be that China either decides to slow down and reduce production or dumps its goods in every major market. Both the scenarios are bad for world economy.
As for now, equity markets are feeling relieved that high rates of reciprocal tariffs will not take place. Countries are sitting on the negotiating table and hopefully an amicable solution can come out of it. The hope was reflected in the market movement with benchmark indices closing the week on a high note, regaining the sharp gap down on Monday. The sharp recovery saw the Indian market closing the week flat.
Bullishness in Indian markets was also helped by the RBI’s decision to cut rates. The central bank announced a 25 bps repo rate cut, bringing it to 6% from 6.25%. Importantly, the central bank lowered the inflation projection target to 4% from 4.2%, though it also lowered the growth forecast to 6.5% for FY2026 from 6.7%.
Major corporate developments were:
Adani Energy Solutions Limited’s (AESL) commitment to expanding its transmission network while improving distribution efficiency has yielded impressive results, as evidenced by a staggering 3.5-fold increase in its transmission order book, now standing at Rs. 59,936 crore. During the quarter, the company added new projects, including two significant transmission projects: Navinal (Mundra) Phase I Part-B and Mahan Transmission.
Meanwhile, in information technology, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), India's largest IT services firm by revenue, announced a decision to defer salary hikes for employees starting in April. This move comes amid growing macroeconomic uncertainties exacerbated by an ongoing tariff war involving the U.S. and other countries. The company’s executives indicated that salary adjustments would be revisited later in the fiscal year when there is more clarity on the economic outlook.
On a different front, Cyient DLM has taken significant strides by deepening its strategic partnership with Deutsche Aircraft, a German regional aircraft manufacturer. This collaboration aims to design, develop, and manufacture a cabin management system for the innovative 40-seater regional turboprop D328eco. It marks a pivotal moment as it represents one of Deutsche Aircraft's first electronics programmes crafted and produced in India.
Ratnamani Metals has embarked on a joint venture with Saudi Electric Supply Company Limited (SESCO). This venture aims to deliver critical tubing solutions to consumers in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and across Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries, emphasising local manufacturing of imported seamless products.
In a substantial commitment to infrastructure development, REC has entered a memorandum of understanding to invest Rs. 1 lakh crore in various projects within the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) to address urban mobility, housing, and essential services.
In the backdrop of corporate restructuring, Vedanta is reevaluating its demerger strategy, potentially consolidating its operations into four units following creditors' objections to the separation of its power business.
Additionally, HUDCO has committed to providing up to Rs. 1.5 lakh crore for infrastructure projects in collaboration with the Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority (MMRDA) over the next five years. This partnership seeks to finance essential projects and extend consultancy and capacity-building services to empower MMRDA's initiatives.
In a significant move to enhance its logistics capabilities, Delhivery announced the acquisition of Ecom Express for Rs. 1,407 crore, with plans to finalise the deal within six months. This acquisition follows Ecom Express's shelved IPO plans, raising concerns over inflated shipment data, and aims to leverage the strengths of both the companies to improve service quality and operational efficiency.
Shifting the focus to renewable energy, the Odisha government has allocated land to Inox Solar, a subsidiary of Inox Clean Energy, for a largescale solar cell and module manufacturing plant in Dhenkanal. The facility, boasting a capacity of 4.8 GW for both solar cells and modules, represents a significant investment in the state's green initiatives.
In the healthcare sector, Metropolis Healthcare has announced its intention to acquire Dr. Ahuja's Pathology and Imaging Centre (Dapic) in Dehradun for Rs. 35 crore. This acquisition, Metropolis' third in North India recently, is part of the company's strategy to strengthen its regional market position.
On the maritime front, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has commenced operations at the Colombo West International Terminal in Sri Lanka, which was developed under a public-private partnership. This USD800 million investment enables the terminal to handle approximately 3.2 million TEUs annually, further solidifying APSEZ's presence in the region.
Lastly, in telecommunications, Vodafone Idea has taken a significant step by issuing and allotting nearly 3,695 crore equity shares, equating to Rs. 36,950 crore, to the Department of Investment and Public Asset Management, thereby transforming spectrum auction dues into equity. This move has raised the government's shareholding in the company to nearly 49%, a crucial step towards stabilising the debt-laden telco's balance sheet.
The week ahead
Although the earnings season has commenced, market movements remain heavily influenced by tariff-related announcements from U.S. President, Donald Trump. Despite a 90-day pause on new tariff impositions, market sentiment remains jittery due to the unpredictability of his sudden policy declarations, which continue to unsettle investors.
Quick Read
Week that was
An eventful week concluded with the benchmark index dropping by 2.61%. The week began with US President Donald Trump announcing reciprocal tariffs on all trading partners. As a result, exports from India to the US will now be subject to a 26% duty.
The impact of these reciprocal tariffs was felt worldwide, leading to declines in global markets for much of the week. The situation escalated on Friday when China imposed a 34% tax on US goods, causing markets to crash. With uncertainty prevailing, many financial markets, including cryptocurrencies, experienced significant downturns throughout the week.
Countries have responded differently to trade tensions. For instance, China has retaliated with reciprocal taxes, while others, such as Israel and Vietnam, have complied with US demands by eliminating their tariffs on American goods. In contrast, India has adopted a more cautious stance.
India is currently negotiating a trade deal with the US that would reduce duties and foster increased trade between the two nations. Under this Bilateral Trade Agreement, both countries are working to raise their trade volume from $190.08 billion in 2023 to $500 billion by 2030. The first phase of the agreement is expected to be finalized by the fall of this year.
Although Indian markets have declined in response to a global equity selloff, the direct impact on Indian companies is not as severe as it may appear. Competing economies have been affected more significantly, which could make Indian products more attractive in the US market.
Currently, the sectors in India that seem to be impacted by Trump’s tariffs include textiles, chemicals, agricultural products, gems and jewellery, machinery, electronics, and electrical goods.
The overall slowdown caused by the tariffs will significantly affect Indian companies. In response to this news, oil markets have experienced a drop of nearly seven percent. Compounding the challenges in the energy market, the oil cartel OPEC has decided to increase oil production. This decision likely reflects the expectation that tariffs and restrictions on various OPEC members, such as Venezuela and Iran, imposed by Trump, will reduce output from these countries. Meanwhile, gold prices fell on Friday after reaching a new high earlier in the week.
Major corporate developments were:
The week ahead
Indian markets are expected to align with global markets this week, which will also witness the release of the first set of earnings reports.